CL Table and Top 8 Chances

[Frogfish ★]

Table here : https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/live/c3r793913xrt#Tables

Our last two games are (H) Qarabag and (A) Marseille (min 4 maybe 6)? So 16 or 18 points.

If we accept the Top 2 (Arsenal & Bayern) will be safe then these are, realistically, the remaining teams challenging for an automatic Top 8 slot:

City (+1 point) : (A) Bodo & (H) Gala 6 = 19
Atalanta (+1 point) : (H) Athletic & (A) Union SG 4 = 17
PSG (+1 point) : (A) Sporting (H) Newcastle 6 = 19

Real Madrid (level points with LFC) : (H) Monaco & (A) Benfica 4 = 16
Inter (level points) : (H) Arsenal & (A) Dortmund 1 = 13
Atletico (level points) : (A) Bodo (H) Sporting 6 = 18

Spurs (-1 point) : (H) Dortmund & (A) Frankfurt 4 = 15
Dortmund (-1 point) : (A) Spurs & (H) Inter 2 = 13

Sporting (-2 pts) : (H) PSG & (A) Athletic 0 = 10
Chelsea (-2 point) : (H) Pafos & (A) Napoli 4 = 14
Barca (-2 pts) : (A) Slavia Prague & (H) Copenhagen 6 = 16
Newcastle (-2 pts) : (H) PSV & (A) PSG 1 = 11

It's looking like we'll need to win both of our games to go through in the Top 8. Maybe it will look like this :

Arsenal 1st
Bayern 2nd
City 19
PSG 19
Atletico 18
Liverpool 18
Atalanta 17
Real or Barca or Liverpool (if we W+D) 16

 

[6TimesaRed ⭐]

4 points from the next 2 games should get you automatic qualification..

16 points is generally what is expected as a minimum to get into the Top 8

 

[Frogfish ★]

4 points from the next 2 games should get you automatic qualification..

16 points is generally what is expected as a minimum to get into the Top 8

I doubt 16 will be enough. We don't have the GD if we're tied.

 

[6TimesaRed ⭐]

I doubt 16 will be enough. We don't have the GD if we're tied.

It will be fine .
Inter got tough games.

As have Real Madrid

Dortmund have to too

The top 8 in the main will be playing teams looking to cement their place in the playoffs

9th place last season finished on 15 points


16 points should be enough .

 

[6TimesaRed ⭐]

Opta's analysis of the league phase in 2024, simulating matches 50,000 times, found that in 98 per cent of instances, 16 points was enough for a top-eight finish.

Optas predication 25/26 season

Arsenal - 22 points
Bayern Munich - 19 points
PSG - 18 points
Real Madrid - 17 points
Atalanta - 16 points
Liverpool - 16 points
Man City - 16 points
Atletico Madrid - 15 points

 

[Frogfish ★]

Optas predication

Arsenal - 22 points
Bayern Munich - 19 points
PSG - 18 points
Real Madrid - 17 points
Atalanta - 16 points
Liverpool - 16 points
Man City - 16 points
Atletico Madrid - 15 points

OPTA have fucked up - it's impossible for RM to get 17 pts when they have 12 now !

And City won't beat Bodo and Gala?!

Nah they are smoking something : Atletico will either lose away at Bodo or at home to Sporting ? WTF?!

 

[6TimesaRed ⭐]

OPTA have fucked up - it's impossible for RM to get 17 pts when they have 12 now !

And City won't beat Bodo and Gala?!

That article was printed before the city game..

So it probably mean they are on for 14 maybe 15 points.

Their next two games ain't going to be easy. Both teams they are playing have something to play for..

 

[6TimesaRed ⭐]

Latest opta predictions

 

[beejay]

One game at a time...

We have won on paper all our difficult games and lost the easy ones.