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Swansea are widely available at 10/1 and as a midfielder for the rank outsiders Shelvey should be about 25/1 - 30/1 to be the first scorer. Shaving a bit off the double for the causation aspect i.e. if Shelvey scores first then it increases the chances of a 0-1 scoreline I'd say the correct price should be about 200/1.
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