Betting 2012 weekly football bets.

[Pesam]

£10 lay of Ireland beating Andorra to win £100.

Edit: I've sold this for a tiny profit as I just can't see us fucking up.

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Bury beating Exeter @ 2.16
Small lay of Rotherham beating Burton @ 2.12
Small bet over 2.5 goals Shrewsbury v Barnet @1.77
Small lay of Torquay winning at Bradford @ 2.94
Small lay of Southend winning at Crewe @2.54
Small lay of Accrington winning at Plymouth @2.42

Edit:Early goal, Bury 1-0 Exeter - layed a little more against Bury @ 1.39
Edit: 2-0 to bury, layed them again @1.07

Bradford 1 up but down to 10 men so sold my liability on the bet and reduced my potential profit from£60 to £50.

 

[Pesam]

Soccer / Notts Co v Hartlepool : Match Odds 09-Oct-11 16:30 09-Oct-11 18:24 -10.30* (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Plymouth v Accrington S : Match Odds 08-Oct-11 15:00 08-Oct-11 17:08 57.12
Soccer / Crewe v Southend : Match Odds 08-Oct-11 15:00 08-Oct-11 17:04 -76.93
Soccer / Rotherham v Burton : Match Odds 08-Oct-11 15:00 08-Oct-11 16:58 52.36
Soccer / Bradford v Torquay : Match Odds 08-Oct-11 15:00 08-Oct-11 16:55 47.60
Soccer / Bury v Exeter : Match Odds 08-Oct-11 15:00 08-Oct-11 16:50 -88.19
Soccer / Shrewsbury v Barnet : Over/Under 2.5 goals 08-Oct-11 15:00 08-Oct-11 16:29 71.98 * (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Northampton v Crawley Town : First Goalscorer 08-Oct-11 12:45 08-Oct-11 13:44 -22.51 * (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Andorra v Rep of Ireland : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 07-Oct-11 20:30 07-Oct-11 22:30 8.57* (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Andorra v Rep of Ireland : Match Odds 07-Oct-11 20:30 07-Oct-11 22:27 1.03
Soccer / Morecambe v Preston : Match Odds 04-Oct-11 19:30 04-Oct-11 21:31 38.08
Soccer / Scunthorpe v Oldham : Match Odds 04-Oct-11 19:00 04-Oct-11 20:57 -67.32 * (£8 of which is part of the 3% challenge)

Loss of £28 for the week so overall profit is £993

 

[Pesam]

Oldham 0-0 MK Dons after 35 minutes. £40 lay of MK DOns winning @ 2.22

 

[Pesam]

I backed £3 MK Dons @ 180/1 with 5 minutes to go because I sensed they would get chances in the last 4 or 5 minutes - I was right , they did, but they missed them. Profit made all the same.

Soccer / Oldham v MK Dons : Match Odds 10-Oct-11 19:45 10-Oct-11 21:41 35.19
Soccer / Oldham v MK Dons : First Goalscorer 10-Oct-11 19:45 10-Oct-11 20:41 9.13 (* 3% Challenge)

Overall Profit £1028

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Ireland beating Armenia @1.68

Never heard of Movsisyan up front for Armenia but he's got 4 goals so far in this tournament and he shouldn't be 14/1 in such a close game. £20 on him to score 1st (and £2 of this is for my 3% challenge)

 

[Pesam]

£5 @ 6/1 Cassano 1st goalscorer v Northern Ireland

 

[Pesam]

Soccer / Italy v Northern Ireland : First Goalscorer 11-Oct-11 19:45 11-Oct-11 21:44 28.53
Soccer / Albania v Romania : Match Odds 11-Oct-11 19:00 11-Oct-11 20:55 22.82 (* £12 off it is attributable to my 3% Challenge)
Soccer / Rep of Ireland v Armenia : Match Odds 11-Oct-11 18:45 11-Oct-11 20:39 -48.30
Soccer / Rep of Ireland v Armenia : First Goalscorer 11-Oct-11 18:45 11-Oct-11 20:19 -20.00
Soccer / Malta v Israel : Match Odds 11-Oct-11 18:00 11-Oct-11 19:52 -5.10 (* 3% Challenge)

Loss of £28 making overall profit exactly £1,000.

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Leeds winning at Doncaster @ 2.4

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Burton beating Cheltenham @ 2.28

 

[Pesam]

Sorry I couldn't get my bets on here but I was watching Liverpool match in the pub in Dublin with Bazza-The-Koppite and we legged it back to his to just about get these few bets on before 3pm.

Soccer / Crawley Town v Shrewsbury : Over/Under 2.5 goals 15-Oct-11 15:00 15-Oct-11 17:12 41.84
Soccer / Derby v Southampton : Match Odds 15-Oct-11 15:00 15-Oct-11 16:59 142.65
Soccer / Walsall v Preston : Match Odds 15-Oct-11 15:00 15-Oct-11 16:56 85.59
Soccer / Liverpool v Man Utd : Match Odds 15-Oct-11 12:45 15-Oct-11 14:37 6.66 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Doncaster v Leeds : Match Odds 14-Oct-11 19:45 14-Oct-11 21:37 -106.40 (£28 attributable to the 3% challenge)
Soccer / Burton v Cheltenham : Match Odds 14-Oct-11 19:45 14-Oct-11 21:36 31.94

Profit £224 so overall profit @ £1,224.

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Bayern winning at Napoli @ 1.9

It goes against my betting instincts to bet on teams I don't know that much about but I have a feeling that napoli are decent and that Bayern should not be odds-on away in CL to a decent team. No point waiting for team news on this one because I don't know enough about these teams to know who are the pivotal players. Probably a bit of a daft bet but wtf.

Small lay of Southampton beating West Ham @ 2.3

 

[Pesam]

Soccer / C Palace v Bristol City : Bristol City Clean Sheet? 18-Oct-11 20:00 18-Oct-11 21:42 21.87 (* 3% Challenge)
Soccer / Napoli v B Munich : Match Odds 18-Oct-11 19:45 18-Oct-11 21:41 76.08
Soccer / Southampton v West Ham : Match Odds 18-Oct-11 19:45 18-Oct-11 21:39 -52.00
Soccer / Millwall v Brighton : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 18-Oct-11 19:45 18-Oct-11 21:28 40.89 (* 3% Challenge)
Soccer / Nottm Forest v Middlesbrough : Middlesbrough Clean Sheet? 18-Oct-11 19:45 18-Oct-11 20:23 15.69 (* 3% Challenge)

Profit of £24 taking the overall profit to £1,248

 

[Pesam]

Very small bet Derby to win at Middlesbro @ 5.9
Small lay of Balckpool beating Forest @ 2.2

Really struggling to find any good value, anyway................

Small lay of Cardiff winning at home to Barnsley @ 1.74

You get weeks like this every so often where winners are difficult to find but who knows maybe half timemight throw up some opportunities to get involved in more games....

Small bet on over 2.5 goals in Hereford V barnet game@ 1.9

 

[SummerOnions]

I've backed Downing to score 1st on a whim, and gone for 3-0 to us as well.

I suspect the best bets will be on tomorrow's games, i think backing City will be a good shout.

 

[Pesam]

[quote author=SummerOnions link=topic=46434.msg1415018#msg1415018 date=1319294110]
I've backed Downing to score 1st on a whim, and gone for 3-0 to us as well.

I suspect the best bets will be on tomorrow's games, i think backing City will be a good shout.
[/quote]

Good luck SO and I hope you're right about tomorrow's games being the best to bet on because this has been the toughest saturday to find winners yet.

Clutching at straws................I've layed Cardiff beating Barnsley (they're 3-1 up) £6 bet to win £100.

 

[Pesam]

I'm taking the bet I did earlier in the week (on the "trading for profit" thread) £174 lay of United winning @ 2.16 - I'm backing United now £80 @ 2.3 leaving me with a £70 liability on United winning and £70 profit on City or the draw.

 

[Bazza The Kopite]

You considering selling your 'City to Win the League' bet at all? Price has come down a lot with the current score.

 

[Bazza The Kopite]

Just put a small bet on Arsenal to win. Evens at half time.

 

[Bazza The Kopite]

Got QPR at 4.5 just after they scored their penalty and was 11 v 11. Looking like a profitable day!

 

[Pesam]

[quote author=Bazza The Kopite link=topic=46434.msg1415722#msg1415722 date=1319376610]
You considering selling your 'City to Win the League' bet at all? Price has come down a lot with the current score.
[/quote]

I just got back from the D&P, it emptied quite quickly after City's 4th I'm considering selling the liability in the bet i.e. £300 but I'll think about during the week. IMO City should now be odds-on and I would lay the liability @ 1.8-1.9 ut not sure I want to lay at 2.24. Having said that, it's tempting to get my stake money back and still leave a potential £500+ profit if they prevail.

Hope QPR comes off for you, Ian has them as well for a potential £100 profit.

 

[SummerOnions]

Forgot to put the City bet on, that's set me back quite a bit!

 

[Pesam]

[quote author=SummerOnions link=topic=46434.msg1416056#msg1416056 date=1319401869]
Forgot to put the City bet on, that's set me back quite a bit!
[/quote]

It's the worst feeling when you intend doing a bet, forget, and then have to watch your hunch stroll in.

I was watching TV with my GF on Friday night and had intended laying Accrington beating Cheltenham. I had the laptop open as we watched telly and she found it most amusing that I spent 10 minutes moaning about the fact that Cheltenham had left their 2 best forwards (Duffy & Goulding) on the bench which stopped me betting on them. She found it even more amusing when I kept pressing refresh for score updates and saw the following "38 minutes tactical substitution Goulding on for Spencer" followed immediately by "39 minutes goal scored by Goulding". I was fucking livid, stupid original team selection cost me at least a £60 profit.

 

[Pesam]

Football / Man Utd v Man City : Match Odds 23-Oct-11 13:30 23-Oct-11 15:22 66.57
Football / Liverpool v Norwich : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 22-Oct-11 17:30 22-Oct-11 19:25 -10.00 (3% Challenge)
Football / Liverpool v Norwich : Over/Under 2.5 goals 22-Oct-11 17:30 22-Oct-11 19:25 -100.00 (3% Challenge)
Football / Middlesbrough v Derby : Match Odds 22-Oct-11 15:00 22-Oct-11 17:01 -10.00
Football / Cardiff v Barnsley : Match Odds 22-Oct-11 15:00 22-Oct-11 16:57 -51.01
Football / Blackpool v Nottm Forest : Match Odds 22-Oct-11 15:00 22-Oct-11 16:54 28.53
Football / Hereford v Barnet : Over/Under 2.5 goals 22-Oct-11 15:00 22-Oct-11 16:54 -40.00
Football / Portsmouth v Doncaster : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 22-Oct-11 15:00 22-Oct-11 15:30 9.76 (3% Challenge)
Football / Wolves v Swansea : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 22-Oct-11 12:45 22-Oct-11 14:30 -0.11 (3% Challenge)
Football / Wolves v Swansea : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 22-Oct-11 12:45 22-Oct-11 13:21 9.51 (3% challenge)

Pretty much break-even over the weekend so overall bank @ £1242.

 

[redsar]

This weekend was a killer for me. First, I backed overs in Barca game that ended 0-0 (which happens once in a blue moon), then layed City because I thought Scum would get a result at home. Finally, I backed Chelsea at odds 1.95 just after they conceded and then Bosingwa got a red card. I also contemplated backing Levante away to Villarreal (odds 4,2) but gave up. Pity, because they won 3-0. Some weird results, coupled with wrong decisions...

But my bank was small anyway so it's not a big deal. And 6-1 scoreline was worth every penny

 

[Pesam]

Brighton 0-1 West Ham with 30 mins to go. £36 lay Of West Ham winning to win £70.

 

[Pesam]

Very strange prices in the first goalscorer markey in the Aldershot V United game. I realise that United are far more likely to score first BUT Aldershot are very good going forward and it wouldn't totally surprise me if they scored first. Given that, the prices on Rankine(Aldershot's main striker) and Rodman (attacking right midfield) are VERY wrong. Rodman @ 40/1 is bizarre (IMO he should be 25/1 maximum) and Rankine (who also takes the penalties) should be no more than 16/1.Danny Hylton is their top scorer and 17/1 is a decent price but not huge value.

I've had a very good start to the season so I've gone out on a bit ofa limb here with some decent sized bets considering I still believe United will probably still score first, but value-is-value.

£14 @ 17 Hylton 1st goal
£25 @ 18 Rankine 1st goal
£25 @ 40 Rodman 1st goal

 

[Pesam]

Small lay of Preston beating Oldham @ 2.06
Small lay of Notts County winning at Bury @ 2.46
Small lay of Southampton winning at Palace @ 2.7
Medium lay of Huddersfield winning at Scunthorpe @ 2.1
Small lay of Southend winning at Barnet @ 2.22

Half Time Edit: Top 4 bets are all going my way although all 4 matches are level so I'm hardly comfortable.The Southend game seems gone. I've backed a small amount on Huddersfield @ 2.44 to put this game from a medium lay to a small lay of Huddersfield.

 

[Pesam]

Soccer / Crawley Town v Dag and Red : Match Odds 25-Oct-11 19:45 25-Oct-11 21:50 102.29 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Barnet v Southend : Match Odds 25-Oct-11 19:45 25-Oct-11 21:48 -54.90
Soccer / C Palace v Southampton : Match Odds 25-Oct-11 19:45 25-Oct-11 21:45 50.04
Soccer / Sheff Utd v MK Dons : Match Odds 25-Oct-11 19:45 25-Oct-11 21:42 34.24 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Bury v Notts Co : Match Odds 25-Oct-11 19:45 25-Oct-11 21:40 33.28
Soccer / Preston v Oldham : Match Odds 25-Oct-11 19:45 25-Oct-11 21:40 52.92
Soccer / Scunthorpe v Huddersfield : Match Odds 25-Oct-11 19:45 25-Oct-11 21:40 52.50
Soccer / Arsenal v Bolton : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 25-Oct-11 19:45 25-Oct-11 20:58 10.46 (3% Challenge)
Soccer / Aldershot v Man Utd : First Goalscorer 25-Oct-11 19:45 25-Oct-11 20:37 -69.00
Soccer / Brighton v West Ham : Match Odds 24-Oct-11 19:45 24-Oct-11 21:47 -36.40
Soccer / Brighton v West Ham : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 24-Oct-11 19:45 24-Oct-11 21:47 19.98 (3% Challenge)

£28 profit from Monday/Tuesday games meaning overall profit at £1270

 

[Pesam]

£68 lay of Newcastle winning at Blackburn to win £41.

Usually I don't bet until I see the team news but I doubt this price (2.64) will be available later. I know Tiote & S. Taylor are both out tonight and Newcastle will probably rest a few other players. Even if they don't, I'm still not convinced about Newcastle this season and they should be at least 2.8 IMO.

I might move this bet over to the 3% challenge later, I'll decide before kick-off.


Edit: the price on Newcastle winning keeps contracting which makes little sense, it's down to 2.48 so I'm continuint to lay because IMO the price is "wrong".

£167 profit on Blackburn or the draw - £255 liability on newcastle.

Edit: Right, I layed more until I got to a £375 liability, so now that the price has "corrected" to 2.74ish my overall liability is £200 and potential profit is £150* (these amounts include my 3% bet of £55/£40)