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British / HG players

The prisoner analogy is proving the point: outcomes can be real without being genetic.

And for the record, you brought genes into this. Calling it a “fundamental advantage” and later insisting “black people have a genetic advantage in athletics.” That’s why people pushed back.

I thought I wrote that Chelsea, say, has a fundamental advantage because of its local black population, not that black people have a fundamental advantage because of their genetics? If not, apologies, because that's what I mean. They could of course be the same thing, although not necessarily.

But yes I do think it's very likely to be a genetic advantage.
 
I thought I wrote that Chelsea, say, has a fundamental advantage because of its local black population, not that black people have a fundamental advantage because of their genetics? If not, apologies, because that's what I mean. They could of course be the same thing, although not necessarily.

But yes I do think it's very likely to be a genetic advantage.

If “large Black catchment” were the fundamental cause of football output, then Southampton, Athletic Bilbao, Croatia and Iceland wouldn’t look like they do. These are clear counter-examples: small or homogenous populations, yet massive per-capita production of elite players. The consistent predictor across those is system quality, pathways, coaching, and minutes, not racial demography.

And if Black population density really explained academy output in England, London clubs would dominate while Manchester and Liverpool would lag. But the City A.M. stats show United, City, and Liverpool at the very top, despite much smaller Black populations. Again, the stronger correlation is with investment, facilities, and pathways, not population demographics.

So yes, outcomes are real: we can see the overrepresentation. But the evidence for why points to structures and systems, not genes.
 
Club (Academy Output Rank*)Local Black Population (approx.)Comment
Man Utd (#1)~4% (Greater Manchester)Elite output despite small Black population.
Man City (#2)~4% (Greater Manchester)Same as above - output driven by £200m+ CFA investment.
Liverpool (#3)~3% (Merseyside)Strong output with low Black population - pathway & culture key.
Chelsea (#4)~13–14% (London, higher in some boroughs)High output - but consistent with London’s academy density.
Arsenal (#5)~13–14% (London)High output too - but not ahead of Manchester clubs.
Southampton (Top 10 historically)~2% (South Coast)World-class conveyor belt - without large Black population.
 
If “large Black catchment” were the fundamental cause of football output, then Southampton, Athletic Bilbao, Croatia and Iceland wouldn’t look like they do. These are clear counter-examples: small or homogenous populations, yet massive per-capita production of elite players. The consistent predictor across those is system quality, pathways, coaching, and minutes, not racial demography.

And if Black population density really explained academy output in England, London clubs would dominate while Manchester and Liverpool would lag. But the City A.M. stats show United, City, and Liverpool at the very top, despite much smaller Black populations. Again, the stronger correlation is with investment, facilities, and pathways, not population demographics.

So yes, outcomes are real: we can see the overrepresentation. But the evidence for why points to structures and systems, not genes.

Don't think I ever said the things you're claiming or implying I said here. Never said it was the only factor. Never said it was the main factor. Never said it couldn't be overcome. Actually said our outcomes were good and defended them.

Did say it was a fundamental disadvantage and was significant. Probably very significant.
 
Don't think I ever said the things you're claiming or implying I said here. Never said it was the only factor. Never said it was the main factor. Never said it couldn't be overcome. Actually said our outcomes were good and defended them.

Did say it was a fundamental disadvantage and was significant. Probably very significant.

Ok, let me try to put your position into my own words, then you can tell me if it's a fair summary:
  1. Observation: Black players are overrepresented in English football relative to their population share.
  2. Cross-sport comparison: Similar overrepresentation is seen in sprinting, basketball, American football, etc.
  3. Hypothesis: That overrepresentation suggests Black populations in England (especially in London catchments) provide a fundamental advantage in producing elite footballers.
  4. Qualification: You’re not saying it’s the only factor, or the main factor, or that it can’t be overcome. But you are saying it’s a significant factor that should be acknowledged alongside others like systems, pathways, and culture.
Is that a fair representation of your claim?
 
Ok, let me try to put your position into my own words, then you can tell me if it's a fair summary:
  1. Observation: Black players are overrepresented in English football relative to their population share.
  2. Cross-sport comparison: Similar overrepresentation is seen in sprinting, basketball, American football, etc.
  3. Hypothesis: That overrepresentation suggests Black populations in England (especially in London catchments) provide a fundamental advantage in producing elite footballers.
  4. Qualification: You’re not saying it’s the only factor, or the main factor, or that it can’t be overcome. But you are saying it’s a significant factor that should be acknowledged alongside others like systems, pathways, and culture.
Is that a fair representation of your claim?

I think so. I'm not necessarily saying it should be acknowledged though. That's up to each of us to decide I suppose.
 
I think so. I'm not necessarily saying it should be acknowledged though. That's up to each of us to decide I suppose.

Fair enough. If your point is basically “there’s an observable pattern, make of it what you will,” then I can agree to disagree on the explanation and leave it at that.

The reason it turned into a debate wasn’t the observation itself. We can all see the overrepresentation. It was the way you phrased it as a “fundamental advantage” and then shot down pushback as if people were being “PC” or “snowflakes.” That wording makes it sound like a genetic claim, which is why it was challenged, and why the thread spiralled.

So for me it’s simple: the what is real, but the why is where we part ways. You see a biological edge, I see structures, systems and culture.

Either way, we’d have saved a lot of typing if you’d just said “it looks that way to me” instead of accusing half the thread of being too PC to handle “the truth.”
 
I'm pretty sure I've read that DNA can be altered over the course of 3 generations even without natural selection. If you, for example, devote yourself to holding your breath underwater as a form of training, your grandchildren or their spawn are more likely to be born with this trait.

That being said, there's evidence of distinct physical traits manifesting themselves in groups. E.g. Dutch people are taller, Jamaicans are faster, Indians have skinny legsal and pot bellies etc. Some of these traps are a result of environment but by natural selection or DNA they are passed on for at least 1 to 2 generations.
My great grand kids will be known for their strong right wrists
 
Fair enough. If your point is basically “there’s an observable pattern, make of it what you will,” then I can agree to disagree on the explanation and leave it at that.

The reason it turned into a debate wasn’t the observation itself. We can all see the overrepresentation. It was the way you phrased it as a “fundamental advantage” and then shot down pushback as if people were being “PC” or “snowflakes.” That wording makes it sound like a genetic claim, which is why it was challenged, and why the thread spiralled.

So for me it’s simple: the what is real, but the why is where we part ways. You see a biological edge, I see structures, systems and culture.

Either way, we’d have saved a lot of typing if you’d just said “it looks that way to me” instead of accusing half the thread of being too PC to handle “the truth.”

I think it spiralled because I'm making what I think is the common sense claim that it's basically a genetic advantage especially given the similar overrepresentations across countries and across sports (as the sainted Bill Burr refers to in the video above) and lots of you find that too ugly a likelihood to accept.

I don't think I've ever seen a clearer case for that midwit meme. Stupid person and clever person both say "black people are better at football". Angry guy in the middle is all "let me explain to you how this works..."
 
I could never! More implying that fate will leave his genetic right wrist gene to atrophy.
My son is left-handed and right-footed. My brother is right-handed and left-footed. My ancesters must have been some freaks.
 
I’m 100% left footed (in the anatomical meaning) but ambidextrous. Although my suspicion is that stems from my schools (including nursery) all forced right handed writing, drawing and even playing. I tend to do things 100% one handed rather than swap eg write right handed, eat left handed
 
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