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Bank now at £1793. I seem steadfastly stuck between the 2% and 3% target which I'm not too distressed about but if I get one really bad result I think I will have to forget the 3% target. I will post next weekend's target later.
£20 Bolton to win at Fulham towin £112
£25 Macclesfield to win at Shrewsbury to win £130
£30 Danny Graham 1st goal v Newcastle to win £240
£10 Long 1st goal and £10 Odemwingie 1st goal v Blackburn (£72 win Long - £90 win Odem)
[quote author=Pesam link=topic=46433.msg1447232#msg1447232 date=1324323516]
£500 lay of Birmingham beating Palace to win £300
£10 Murray 1st goalscorer to win £74
[/quote]
0-0 after 35 minutes and it's fairly even BUT Birmingham Seem to be playing with more attacking intent than recent games so I'm gonna start laying this bet off in installments.
[quote author=Pesam link=topic=46433.msg1447295#msg1447295 date=1324326175]
[quote author=Pesam link=topic=46433.msg1447232#msg1447232 date=1324323516]
£500 lay of Birmingham beating Palace to win £300
£10 Murray 1st goalscorer to win £74
[/quote]
0-0 after 35 minutes and it's fairly even BUT Birmingham Seem to be playing with more attacking intent than recent games so I'm gonna start laying this bet off in installments.
[/quote]
As I mentioned in the other thread, the 2 weeks over Xmas and the New Year were spent either drunk or very hungover. My betting was all over the place as was my memory and I haven't a clue which bets were meant for which challenge (I posted all the +/- bets on the other thread). Rather than guess whether or not I made a profit on either or both threads (I made an overall profit I think) I'm going to wipe those 2 weeks off the record in this 3% challenge and therefore my target for this weekend is, as was prior to Xmas, Week 18......................
£115 lay of Barnsley beating Swansea to win £50
£74 lay of Southampton beating Coventry to win £50
£330 lay of Crawley beating Bristol City to win £250
£174 lay of MK Dons beating QPR to win £100
Edit: I put a £100 lay on Crawley @ 2.54 and a £100 back of Crawley @ 2.72 at half time and both were taken 🙂
Gives me a liability of £358 and a potential profit of £272
Edit: Still 0-0 in Crawley v Bristol City game so I've started laying off the liability on Crawley @ 4.0+
Edit: I'm not sure I'm doing the right thing by selling this but I just want to focus on our game. Spurs 1-0 up so bet sold and £6 profit now on over 1.5 goals, no liability on unders.
Another shocker on this thread, a loss of £307 leaves the season profit @ £908.
I'm quitting this thread now and claiming a minor victory. Even though I failed miserably with the 3% target and was even failing with the 2% target, I did turn £100 into £908 and I'm quitting now before that goes.
The reason this challenge can't be successful is that you have to keep betting on strong favourites like Man Utd v Blackburn and Man City to win @ Sunderland and these short-priced bets are anathema to me. The only way to win at betting is to spot the value in a bet (usually on outsiders) and at odds approaching Evens or better (although you can still sometimes spot value at shorter prices).
I'm adding this total of £908 to my main thread and hopefully I can turn the £3000 profit so far into £6,000+ by the end of the season.
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