Liverpool related transfer speculation

[Beamrider]

See bolded bit above.

Is this how FSG roll? They have been exceedingly prudent up until now. I can't believe they would suddenly say 'fuck it' and throw cash around willy nilly UNLESS they knew how they were going to bankroll it (WCC, sponsorship or whatever).

I honestly don't know. The reality is that revenues will grow, and maybe they've factored in CWC (although I personally hope it dies a death because it's a stupid idea). They'd expect some degree of inflation in wage costs, but this summer's spending is a whole different magnitude.
I'd like to think they've gamed it out and think it's a calculated risk, but it just look reckless to me. We're basically following the pattern that got Villa into such a mess, but from a higher starting point. The lesson is right there in plain sight.
And the extra income isn't going to come from performance. Our media revenue from EPL has little scope for meaningful growth, upside from CL is significant but we'd need to go deep every year, and commercial growth could be approaching saturation point.
Still, they could always put the ticket prices up a few quid a game, that always goes down well.

 

[Modo]

am i fuck learning how to pronounce that, he’d better be fourth choice

I'm guessing you didn't bother with this guy:

 

[bluebell]

I honestly don't know. The reality is that revenues will grow, and maybe they've factored in CWC (although I personally hope it dies a death because it's a stupid idea). They'd expect some degree of inflation in wage costs, but this summer's spending is a whole different magnitude.
I'd like to think they've gamed it out and think it's a calculated risk, but it just look reckless to me. We're basically following the pattern that got Villa into such a mess, but from a higher starting point. The lesson is right there in plain sight.
And the extra income isn't going to come from performance. Our media revenue from EPL has little scope for meaningful growth, upside from CL is significant but we'd need to go deep every year, and commercial growth could be approaching saturation point.
Still, they could always put the ticket prices up a few quid a game, that always goes down well.

I don't get it, probably because I am thick
We had a net spend of 0 last season. This season its going to be £150-200m and next season 0 again. I don't see where the alarm bells are?

 

[Markeh]

I'm guessing you didn't bother with this guy:

i called him the greek like everyone else

 

[Modo]

I don't get it, probably because I am thick
We had a net spend of 0 last season. This season its going to be £150-200m and next season 0 again. I don't see where the alarm bells are?

According to transfermarkt, we're currently about £215 mill in the red.
Selling Diaz, Nunez, Elliott and a few more will probably get us to net zero
But buying Isak, Guehi and possibly a winger will pit us back in the red again by about £200 mill.
I'm not totally sure how it works with PSR, but I think selling homegrown players gives us some leeway and we've already sold Quansah, with Elliott, Morton and few others next.
So, I think we're fine with spending £200 mill.

 

[StevieM]

To be available when we need him.

That’s kind of my point - we don’t require him to dry often - ideally not at all outside of early domestic cup ties or when the league is already won.

 

[StevieM]

Let me put this bluntly, using my numbers as I've previously set them out (adjusted for a lower fee for Lucho as announced today) and I've also done a bit of finessing on wages:

Impact of this summer's dealings on FFP profits (assuming we sell Darwin, Elliot, Doak, Kostas, Chiesa, Morton) and buy Isak and Guehi (or Fofana instead of Guehi, if that's how you roll).

I've also assumed a deduction for full wages of the guys sold (i.e. I assumed that instead of replacing them, we extended their contracts out 5 years on existing terms). In that context, what I'm presenting here is the incremental cost of the new additions over the status quo.

These are individual annual results:

25-26 plus £129m
26-27 minus £84m
27-28 minus £117m
29-29 minus £105m
29-30 minus £94m

Impact on FFP (UEFA target €5m loss over 3 years) - these are the impact on three-year results:

25-26 plus £129m
26-27 plus £45m (£129m - £84m)
27-28 minus £72m (£129m - £84m - £117m)
28-29 minus £306m (-£84m - £117m - £105m)
29-30 minus £316m (-£117m - £105m - £94m)

Seriously, look how fucked that is in 28-29 and 29-30. We could even fail Premier League targets.

I am most certainly not a finance person and you may have covered this earlier - but why do those number jump up so drastically from 28/29?

Is it a case of having to balance it by future sales - like Gakpo or some of the kids coming through and high earners like Mo, Virgil, Ali & Robbo coming off the wage bill?

 

[Dirty Sanchez]

Don’t worry. We’re selling Mo next year.

Nah - Chelsea and 115 showing us the way. We will sell the women's team to ourselves for a tidy profit.