One point of comparison I’d like to offer is Arsenal’s Gabriel Jesus - a striker who is capable of clinical finishes on his day, but whose underlying numbers so far look similar to Nunez in terms of consistently underperforming his XG in the Premier League. Maybe @King Binny or someone can find the exact XG stats, but here is the league goals output for Jesus and Nunez respectively:
Jesus has never blossomed into a 20+ goal striker, he only hit double-figures in the league 3 times. At the moment Nunez’s career in the EPL is behind even Jesus’s average numbers with this season currently on track for around 9-10 goal return. They both offer valuable things to their team in addition to goals; I don’t think many people would say Jesus’s Premier League career was a failure, although it’s probably fair to say he didn’t completely live up to expectations.
Does Nunez have something extra that will take him to a next level? And if not, are we happy with him being a 10 goals per season striker if he contributes in other ways?
I voted Yes and I have to admit at this point it’s completely irrational. I respect the opinion of the likes of Michael Owen who say he does seem to lack something fundamentally as a finisher, but for my own eye test it all just seems so tantalizingly close! Nunez gets on the end of the most chances in the league; surely just a small improvement in finishing would yield substantial results? He is built every bit like a star striker, he comes from a football culture that produced some great ones that he can look up to, he is coached by Bielsa and Klopp - I just cannot give up yet, evidence in front of our eyes be damned.
The Jesus comparison is good but he was never really the first choice at City was he?One point of comparison I’d like to offer is Arsenal’s Gabriel Jesus - a striker who is capable of clinical finishes on his day, but whose underlying numbers so far look similar to Nunez in terms of consistently underperforming his XG in the Premier League. Maybe @King Binny or someone can find the exact XG stats, but here is the league goals output for Jesus and Nunez respectively:
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Jesus has never blossomed into a 20+ goal striker, he only hit double-figures in the league 3 times. At the moment Nunez’s career in the EPL is behind even Jesus’s average numbers with this season currently on track for around 9-10 goal return. They both offer valuable things to their team in addition to goals; I don’t think many people would say Jesus’s Premier League career was a failure, although it’s probably fair to say he didn’t completely live up to expectations.
Does Nunez have something extra that will take him to a next level? And if not, are we happy with him being a 10 goals per season striker if he contributes in other ways?
I voted Yes and I have to admit at this point it’s completely irrational. I respect the opinion of the likes of Michael Owen who say he does seem to lack something fundamentally as a finisher, but for my own eye test it all just seems so tantalizingly close! Nunez gets on the end of the most chances in the league; surely just a small improvement in finishing would yield substantial results? He is built every bit like a star striker, he comes from a football culture that produced some great ones that he can look up to, he is coached by Bielsa and Klopp - I just cannot give up yet, evidence in front of our eyes be damned.
The Jesus comparison is good but he was never really the first choice at City was he?
Only managed to find EPL xG stats to make comparison for both
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League goals, not all competitions. Can he do it?
Interesting to compare our scorers with those at Arsenal and City. The ONLY players at those 3 clubs with clearer goals per minute are Mo, Haaland and Jota ! Only one player has more assists, Mo !One point of comparison I’d like to offer is Arsenal’s Gabriel Jesus - a striker who is capable of clinical finishes on his day, but whose underlying numbers so far look similar to Nunez in terms of consistently underperforming his XG in the Premier League. Maybe @King Binny or someone can find the exact XG stats, but here is the league goals output for Jesus and Nunez respectively:
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Jesus has never blossomed into a 20+ goal striker, he only hit double-figures in the league 3 times. At the moment Nunez’s career in the EPL is behind even Jesus’s average numbers with this season currently on track for around 9-10 goal return. They both offer valuable things to their team in addition to goals; I don’t think many people would say Jesus’s Premier League career was a failure, although it’s probably fair to say he didn’t completely live up to expectations.
Does Nunez have something extra that will take him to a next level? And if not, are we happy with him being a 10 goals per season striker if he contributes in other ways?
I voted Yes and I have to admit at this point it’s completely irrational. I respect the opinion of the likes of Michael Owen who say he does seem to lack something fundamentally as a finisher, but for my own eye test it all just seems so tantalizingly close! Nunez gets on the end of the most chances in the league; surely just a small improvement in finishing would yield substantial results? He is built every bit like a star striker, he comes from a football culture that produced some great ones that he can look up to, he is coached by Bielsa and Klopp - I just cannot give up yet, evidence in front of our eyes be damned.
Considering how everyone jizzes over Mane (I'd never belittle him!) that is a very interesting comparison. I'm no longer sure that Nunez will ever become a top goal scorer but a major contributor to our success? He's already on his way as the stats/facts prove.You’re a legend, mate. Any thoughts on Nunez? I saw you voted No.
So looking at the numbers Nunez should have scored 11 goals this season if his finishing was average, instead he got 5. A Harry Kane would have hypothetically scored 15 or more with the same chances Nunez got. The concerning thing is that the difference between his XG and actual goals has only grown this season compared to last. Does Klopp admit it’s not working and play him on the wing once again?
This journalist is making a pretty convincing case, statistically:
[article]
When it comes to the numbers, the Uruguayan is a lot closer to Mané’s averages for Liverpool. Especially, when we are looking at the underlying numbers and the amount of xG and chances accumulated by Núñez.
But purely, on the goal contribution alone, Núñez has averaged a goal or assist every 113 minutes for Liverpool in his career so far. This season he is averaging a goal or assist every 98 minutes.
In comparison, Mané averaged a goal or assist every 128 minutes during his career for Liverpool. And in his best season ever for Liverpool in terms of productivity Mané averaged a goal or assist every 109 minutes.
NÚÑEZ ON THE LEFT
Although Núñez has played a big chunk of his minutes so far for Liverpool as a forward (2787 in total out of 3844), he’s actually been a lot more productive on the left-wing.
Overall, Núñez has played 1075 minutes for Liverpool as a left-winger. In that time he has averaged a goal or assist every 105 minutes averaging 0.61 goals per 90, and 0.26 assists per 90.
Meanwhile, as a forward, Núñez averages are lower. He scores a goal or makes an assist every 115 minutes and scores 0.45 per 90 minutes.
If we distil his numbers even further to just performances in the Premier League, the Uruguayan is even more prolific.
In the Premier League he has played 717 minutes on the left for Liverpool, and scored 6 out of his 14 goals while in that position – all the more impressive considering he has played less than 25% of his total minutes in that role.
Overall, on the left, Núñez has averaged a goal or assist every 90 minutes in the league for Liverpool, and he’s scored a goal 0.75 per 90 and assisted 0.25 per 90. In comparison as a forward, he’s averaged a goal or assist ever 145 minutes in the league averaging a goal 0.35 per 90 minutes and an assist 0.26 per 90 minutes.
[/article]
Considering how everyone jizzes over Mane (I'd never belittle him!) that is a very interesting comparison. I'm no longer sure that Nunez will ever become a top goal scorer but a major contributor to our success? He's already on his way as the stats/facts prove.
Everyone always talks about his finishing but that's not his only problem.
Quite often his first touch is not good enough... it's like the Diaz goal that was ruled out last night. His first touch was poor, which meant he couldn't take it in his stride thus making the finish more difficult.
Are we saying his mental state / mental block is also responsible for that?
It's interesting that, despite the usual haters hating, the silent majority still think he can score 20+ goals in a season the EPL.